NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 0-1
Institute vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
DON
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 1
INS
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
DON
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ARC
0 - 3
DON
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DON
1 - 0
BAL
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 2
DON
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
DON
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |