Institute vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 2
ARD
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DER
1 - 3
WAR
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DER
3 - 0
COA
54%
22%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
DER
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DER
0 - 0
ARD
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 1
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |