Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 1
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CRU
0 - 3
LIN
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIM
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLE
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |