Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
INS
2 - 0
LIN
28%
24%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
OMA
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2002 |
GLE
6 - 1
INS
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
COL
3 - 0
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
CRU
2 - 0
OMA
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
76%
15%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 0
CLI
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 3
CRU
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |