Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 1
INS
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DON
0 - 5
INS
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
INS
0 - 0
KNO
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
DUN
62%
20%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |