Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
INS
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
INS
1 - 2
LAR
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 0
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAN
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
LAR
2 - 0
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 4
ARD
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 2
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |