Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
46
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NEY
3 - 3
INS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
INS
1 - 2
AUN
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
INS
0 - 2
DER
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
INS
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEY
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
BAL
23%
24%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COL
5 - 0
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |