Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 4
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
INS
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 0
BAL
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
INS
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |