Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 2
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 2
INS
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
INS
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
1 - 2
ARD
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 3
ARD
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 2
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 3
HAR
52%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 4
ARD
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |