Indy Eleven vs Vancouver Whitecaps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 1
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
SPK
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
IND
0 - 2
LOU
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
SPK
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VAN
3 - 2
CFS
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
VAN
10%
17%
73%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
VAN
3 - 0
GAL
38%
24%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
VAN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
VAN
0 - 2
SES
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |