Indy Eleven vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NSC
2 - 0
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
LOU
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
HAA
2 - 1
IND
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
LOU
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
CHA
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 0
MEM
53%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NYO
2 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 0
PHU
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TAM
4 - 1
LOU
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |