Indy Eleven vs Miami FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
IND
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IND
2 - 3
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LSC
1 - 1
IND
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MIA
1 - 3
IND
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 3
IND
20%
20%
60%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
USA
1 - 2
MIA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
IMI
0 - 1
MIA
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MIA
0 - 1
NMU
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MIA
1 - 2
TAM
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
MIA
4 - 1
NAU
45%
21%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |