Indy Eleven vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BLE
3 - 1
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
AFC
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
OKC
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
OKC
2 - 0
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MEM
1 - 0
IND
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
MEM
2 - 1
LOU
18%
25%
56%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
4 - 3
SPK
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 1
NMU
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
LOU
17%
22%
62%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MEM
1 - 1
LOU
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |