Independiente vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 2
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
GLP
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
LAN
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 2
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEP
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 1
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
HHE
2 - 2
VIL
27%
31%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAI
53%
26%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |