Independiente vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 0
IND
26%
27%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
GLP
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
3 - 3
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
IND
1 - 4
GOD
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 1
IND
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 4
CAU
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 0
ALD
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GLP
0 - 1
SAR
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GOD
1 - 1
SAR
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |