Independiente vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 1
IND
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
IND
1 - 1
ARG
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 1
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
IND
1 - 1
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 1
IND
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 1
CEN
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
BAN
2 - 3
QUI
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
LAN
3 - 1
QUI
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 2
BOC
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 0
QUI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |