Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GOD
1 - 1
IND
44%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
IND
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 1
BEL
61%
24%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
IND
4 - 0
SMA
67%
22%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 2
GLP
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GLP
2 - 2
HUR
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 1
GLP
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 1
GLP
73%
19%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
GLP
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |