Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GOD
2 - 2
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
IND
4 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 1
IND
37%
27%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
BEL
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 2
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
GLP
2 - 3
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 0
GLP
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
GLP
2 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 1
GLP
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GLP
1 - 3
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |