Independiente vs Ciudad De Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IND
2 - 2
COL
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
IND
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
IND
2 - 2
INS
59%
25%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 0
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
DYJ
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 1
CDA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 3
CIB
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
CIB
53%
27%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
DHA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
1 - 1
HHE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |