Independiente vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 1
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
COL
44%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
ATT
2 - 0
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
DYJ
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 2
IND
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 1
SAR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALD
2 - 3
LAN
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 0
GLP
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VEL
5 - 1
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
LAN
3 - 1
GOD
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |