Independiente vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 2
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
IND
3 - 4
ARS
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
ARG
0 - 2
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
BOC
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 3
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 3
DYJ
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
LAN
3 - 0
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 1
LAN
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
LAN
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |