Independiente vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 0
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
IND
6 - 0
SAR
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
VIL
77%
17%
7%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 2
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
GLP
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
DEF
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 2
TAL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 7
BOC
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
CLA
84%
13%
3%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |