Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 2-1
Independiente vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IND
3 - 0
CCS
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 0
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
IND
0 - 1
GLP
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ATT
1 - 1
RIV
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GLP
1 - 0
ATT
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
ATT
1 - 0
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ATT
2 - 2
LAN
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
ATT
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |