Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 2-1
Independiente vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
31%
28%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
HUR
62%
24%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 0
IND
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
IQU
1 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
IND
4 - 2
IQU
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
ATT
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ATT
2 - 1
GOD
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 0
IND
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
ATT
3 - 0
OPE
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 3
ATT
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |