Indep. Rivadavia vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GBR
1 - 0
IRV
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
IRV
4 - 1
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EST
3 - 1
IRV
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
IRV
3 - 2
FER
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
4 - 1
IRV
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 0
PLA
28%
30%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TEM
0 - 0
ALV
74%
19%
8%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 4
MOR
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALV
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 2
AGR
24%
29%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -2 |