Copa Simón Bolívar 1ª Fase Jor. 8

Independiente Recreo vs Deportivo Alemán analysis

Independiente Recreo Deportivo Alemán
5 ELO 10
-2.3% Tilt 2.2%
49633º General ELO ranking 40973º
123º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
18.9%
Independiente Recreo
18.6%
Draw
62.5%
Deportivo Alemán

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
Independiente Recreo
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.5%
Win probability
Deportivo Alemán
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Independiente Recreo
Deportivo Alemán
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente Recreo
Independiente Recreo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2023
IND
Independiente Recreo
0 - 2
Fancesa
FAN
5%
11%
84%
6 41 35 0
11 Jun. 2023
ATB
Atlético Sucre
6 - 2
Independiente Recreo
IND
85%
10%
5%
7 14 7 -1

Matches

Deportivo Alemán
Deportivo Alemán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2023
ALE
Deportivo Alemán
0 - 1
Nacional Sucre
NAC
58%
19%
23%
11 10 1 0
18 Jun. 2023
ALE
Deportivo Alemán
3 - 0
Atlético Sucre
ATB
19%
19%
62%
9 14 5 +2
28 Oct. 2018
IND
Independiente Petrolero
4 - 3
Deportivo Alemán
ALE
85%
11%
4%
9 68 59 0
25 Oct. 2018
ALE
Deportivo Alemán
2 - 3
Industrial Avilés
INA
6%
12%
82%
9 33 24 0
20 Oct. 2018
ROS
Rosario Central
4 - 4
Deportivo Alemán
ALE
48%
21%
31%
9 9 0 0
X