Independiente Petrolero vs Fancesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CRM
0 - 7
IND
6%
14%
80%
|
65 | 6 | 59 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
4 - 3
IND
8%
20%
72%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
IND
4 - 0
CRM
90%
8%
2%
|
65 | 7 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
SSC
89%
8%
3%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SEN
3 - 3
IND
7%
17%
76%
|
66 | 24 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Fancesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
7 - 0
CRM
94%
5%
1%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
4 - 3
IND
8%
20%
72%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CRM
1 - 2
FAN
4%
10%
86%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
FAN
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
4 - 1
CIC
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +2 |