Independiente Petrolero vs Deportivo Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
WCO
0 - 4
IND
7%
17%
75%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DRT
4 - 3
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SSL
2 - 1
IND
9%
19%
73%
|
66 | 23 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SSC
0 - 1
IND
8%
18%
75%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DFO
0 - 3
SSC
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SEN
7 - 2
DFO
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DFO
0 - 0
SSL
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
DFO
6 - 0
WCO
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DFO
0 - 4
UNI
3%
11%
86%
|
10 | 57 | 47 | 0 |