Independiente Medellín vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
IND
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 5
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
32%
28%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
ENV
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ENV
0 - 0
IND
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
JUN
17%
28%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PAT
3 - 0
CAL
19%
27%
55%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 1
PAT
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 2
MIL
13%
23%
64%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 0
PAT
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |