Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
IND
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
IND
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 5
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
32%
28%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
ONC
2 - 0
AGU
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
EQU
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
ONC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ONC
2 - 2
SFE
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |