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Clausura Colombia. Matchday 13

Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira analysis

Independiente Medellin Deportivo Pereira
73 ELO 56
-32% Tilt 15%
172º General ELO ranking 719º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
51.6%
Independiente Medellin
25.7%
Draw
22.7%
Deportivo Pereira

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
Independiente Medellin
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.7%
Win probability
Deportivo Pereira
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente Medellin
+11%
+18%
Deportivo Pereira

Basic stats

54
46
POS
10
12
SOT
3
6
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
12
9
FRK
73
56
ELO
1.5
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Independiente Medellin
Their league position
Deportivo Pereira
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
15º
25
20º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Millonarios
28
39
50%
Deportivo Pasto
26
33
15%
Deportivo Pereira
25
29
10º
8%
Independiente Medellin
25
34
9%
Santa Fe
25
33
9%
At. Nacional
24
34
6%
Unión Magdalena
24
32
7%
Águilas Doradas
23
31
9%
América de Cali
23
29
12º
8%
Once Caldas
10º
22
28
13º
7%
La Equidad
11º
22
29
11º
10%
Junior
12º
21
30
9%
Atlético Bucaramanga
13º
21
30
9%
Deportes Tolima
14º
16
23
14º
21%
Envigado
15º
16
22
15º
22%
Jaguares FC
16º
14
18
17º
19%
Alianza Petrolera
17º
13
20
16º
19%
Patriotas Boyacá
18º
10
17
18º
19%
Cortuluá
19º
9
13
20º
30%
Deportivo Cali
20º
8
16
19º
28%
Expected probabilities
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pereira
Champion
12% 4%
Final season
58% 57%
Mid-table
30% 40%

ELO progression

Deportivo Pereira
PER
Independiente Medellin
IND
Envigado
ENV
Deportes Tolima
TOL
Alianza Petrolera
ALI
Águilas Doradas
AGU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin
1%
X%
2%
ELO IND ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2022
IND
Independiente Medellin
2 - 0
América de Cali
AME
56%
24%
20%
2064 1598 466 +8
08 Sep. 2022
MIL
Millonarios
2 - 2
Independiente Medellin
IND
50%
26%
24%
2062 2203 141 +4
05 Sep. 2022
IND
Independiente Medellin
4 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
39%
28%
33%
2047 2491 -444 +11
29 Aug. 2022
AGU
Águilas Doradas
3 - 0
Independiente Medellin
IND
39%
28%
33%
2065 1763 -302 -18
25 Aug. 2022
IND
Independiente Medellin
0 - 2
Millonarios
MIL
46%
27%
26%
2079 2161 -82 -12

Matches

Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira
1%
X%
2%
ELO PER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2022
PER
Deportivo Pereira
2 - 2
Águilas Doradas
AGU
36%
27%
37%
1217 1797 -580 +3
10 Sep. 2022
JUN
Junior
0 - 0
Deportivo Pereira
PER
71%
18%
11%
1211 2109 898 +6
04 Sep. 2022
PER
Deportivo Pereira
1 - 1
Once Caldas
ONC
33%
27%
40%
1208 1816 -608 +3
28 Aug. 2022
EQU
La Equidad
1 - 1
Deportivo Pereira
PER
58%
23%
19%
1204 1729 525 +4
20 Aug. 2022
PER
Deportivo Pereira
2 - 1
Cortuluá
COR
39%
28%
33%
1194 1443 -249 +10