Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
IND
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IND
3 - 1
ONC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 1
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
SFE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
IND
1 - 3
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 1
AME
33%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
AGU
3 - 0
BUC
41%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
3 - 4
MIL
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
BUC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
0 - 1
SFE
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |