Serie B Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Independiente Juniors vs LDU de Portoviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
LDU
2 - 1
INJ
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
INJ
2 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SSR
0 - 0
INJ
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
INJ
2 - 0
PQU
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
INJ
0 - 0
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
LDU de Portoviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
LDU
2 - 1
INJ
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
LDU
1 - 1
ORE
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LOJ
0 - 4
LDU
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
LDU
2 - 1
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
SSR
0 - 0
LDU
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |