Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
8º
4º
47
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
INJ
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CSV
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 4
CUN
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
INJ
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
INJ
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CUN
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
GUA
22%
28%
50%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
EME
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |