Independiente Juniors vs Atlético Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
INJ
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
INJ
2 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
LDU
0 - 1
INJ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
INJ
33%
29%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
INJ
1 - 1
PQU
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
PQU
2 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
AME
4 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |