Independiente Juniors vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
INJ
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
INJ
2 - 3
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
INJ
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
INJ
2 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
LDU
0 - 1
INJ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 2
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
PQU
1 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 4
AME
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |