Independiente FBC vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
CAC
3 - 0
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
2DE
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SPT
2 - 1
IND
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
LQE
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 3
FER
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPO
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
4 - 1
RÑU
63%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RPA
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
GUT
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |