Independiente FBC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
IND
4 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
IND
2 - 2
SPT
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 4
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |