Independiente FBC vs 2 de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SPT
2 - 1
IND
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
LQE
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
ATY
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
2DE
3 - 0
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
2DE
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
2DE
2 - 2
RÑU
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
2DE
3 - 4
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
RPA
0 - 1
2DE
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |