Independiente FBC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 1
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
GEN
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
GRE
5 - 0
CCP
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |