Independiente Chorrera vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 2
VIS
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 2
IND
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
IND
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VER
2 - 2
IND
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
VER
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
COS
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 2
OES
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
NYC
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |