Independente SP vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IND
3 - 2
AMP
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASS
1 - 0
IND
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 1
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
PAU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 0
BFC
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ECN
1 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
IND
4 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
JFC
78%
13%
8%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |