Independente SP vs Assisense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 0
IND
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
IND
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
RIO
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Assisense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 0
IND
20%
25%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
17%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 2
NOV
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASS
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 1
AAI
28%
24%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |