Independência vs São Francisco AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
IND
0 - 4
GAL
44%
21%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AND
3 - 3
IND
15%
17%
69%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
IND
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
AND
2 - 2
IND
12%
15%
73%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
IND
4 - 4
SCH
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 2
AND
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
SFC
74%
15%
10%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
SCH
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 4
GAL
10%
14%
77%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 2
ATL
14%
17%
69%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |