Incomáti vs Ferroviario Lichinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
IDX
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IDX
0 - 0
HCB
20%
29%
51%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COS
2 - 0
IDX
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
IDX
0 - 0
MDM
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
IDX
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 2
LIC
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 0
FER
32%
29%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 0
LIG
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HCB
1 - 0
LIC
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LIC
2 - 1
VIL
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |