Incomáti vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
31.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 0
IDX
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
IDX
0 - 0
BBM
19%
27%
54%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FEN
0 - 0
IDX
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IDX
1 - 0
DMA
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HCB
3 - 0
IDX
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
FER
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 1
FER
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
MDM
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
FER
37%
31%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
FER
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |