Incomáti vs Black Bulls Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
IDX
53%
27%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IDX
1 - 0
LIC
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
IDX
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IDX
0 - 0
HCB
20%
29%
51%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COS
2 - 0
IDX
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Black Bulls Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BBM
1 - 0
FER
59%
23%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HCB
3 - 0
BBM
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BBM
5 - 0
MDM
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
BBM
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BBM
3 - 2
FEN
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |