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Austria Fourth Division. Estiria, Matchday 30

Ilzer SV vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis

Ilzer SV TUS Heiligenkreuz
12 ELO 17
82% Tilt 12%
10810º General ELO ranking 8595º
213º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
62.7%
Ilzer SV
19.2%
Draw
18.1%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
Ilzer SV
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.1%
Win probability
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ilzer SV
+66%
+29%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SC Fürstenfeld
28
57
20%
Voitsberg
25
68
15%
Mettersdorf
25
59
12%
SV Union Gnas
23
51
8%
Frauental
22
53
9%
Lafnitz II
21
53
9%
Rottenmann
20
41
9%
Lebring
18
39
7%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
13
38
10º
7%
Union Gamlitz
10º
13
36
11º
8%
Leoben
11º
11
32
13º
8%
Ilzer SV
12º
10
39
8%
Wildon
13º
9
34
12º
9%
Hitthaller St. Michael
14º
8
28
14º
11%
Liezen
15º
7
19
16º
15%
SC Bruck
16º
5
24
15º
14%
Expected probabilities
Ilzer SV
TUS Heiligenkreuz
Champion
1% 1%
Mid-table
83% 85%
Relegation
16% 14%

ELO progression

TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
Ilzer SV
ILZ
Mettersdorf
MET
Union Gamlitz
UGA
TUS Bad Gleichenberg
TBG
Next opponents in ELO points