Illueca vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
ICF
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 0
CDC
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
ICF
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 0
CAL
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ICF
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 2
UFC
35%
27%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UFC
2 - 1
SAA
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ROB
1 - 0
UFC
42%
26%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UFC
2 - 2
BIN
37%
26%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CUA
1 - 0
UFC
46%
24%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |