CD Illescas vs CD Villacañas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
43
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TDR
0 - 0
ILL
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 0
VRU
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
QRE
1 - 2
ILL
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
1 - 1
TAR
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 0
ILL
39%
25%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Villacañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDC
35%
27%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDT
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UBC
0 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
LSO
54%
24%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |